Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.000860 0.000977 0.001109 0.001270 0.001461 0.001682 0.001960
2025-04-27 0.000677 0.000828 0.001016 0.001270 0.001609 0.002057 0.002707
2025-05-04 0.000577 0.000746 0.000971 0.001301 0.001786 0.002498 0.003673
2025-05-11 0.000508 0.000685 0.000934 0.001324 0.001945 0.002948 0.004808
2025-05-18 0.000460 0.000642 0.000911 0.001358 0.002121 0.003464 0.006257
2025-05-25 0.000423 0.000609 0.000895 0.001395 0.002306 0.004048 0.008103
2025-06-01 0.000382 0.000563 0.000851 0.001375 0.002382 0.004445 0.009750
2025-06-08 0.000352 0.000531 0.000824 0.001377 0.002499 0.004963 0.011987
2025-06-15 0.000328 0.000505 0.000803 0.001387 0.002630 0.005556 0.014832
2025-06-22 0.000311 0.000487 0.000793 0.001415 0.002810 0.006333 0.018866
2025-06-29 0.000293 0.000467 0.000776 0.001427 0.002953 0.007073 0.023480
2025-07-06 0.000282 0.000459 0.000781 0.001484 0.003220 0.008285 0.031429
2025-07-13 0.000259 0.000426 0.000737 0.001432 0.003211 0.008696 0.036463
2025-07-20 0.000243 0.000407 0.000717 0.001432 0.003346 0.009672 0.046372
2025-07-27 0.000233 0.000396 0.000713 0.001468 0.003594 0.011222 0.063596
2025-08-03 0.000223 0.000384 0.000706 0.001495 0.003828 0.012892 0.087118
2025-08-10 0.000214 0.000375 0.000703 0.001535 0.004115 0.015033 0.124459
2025-08-17 0.000207 0.000368 0.000703 0.001578 0.004434 0.017639 0.183816
2025-08-24 0.000196 0.000351 0.000679 0.001554 0.004513 0.019083 0.237581
2025-08-31 0.000187 0.000339 0.000665 0.001557 0.004694 0.021327 0.332359
2025-09-07 0.000179 0.000328 0.000654 0.001568 0.004912 0.024087 0.486502
2025-09-14 0.000174 0.000322 0.000652 0.001602 0.005240 0.028086 0.792486
2025-09-21 0.000167 0.000313 0.000643 0.001616 0.005492 0.031931 1.269675